Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 126.515513 146.164972 169.118077 198.233376 234.651712 279.347608 3.393910e+02
2025-03-09 100.154467 124.419908 155.871630 200.817957 265.519202 358.969031 5.118824e+02
2025-03-16 83.852846 108.772882 143.191880 196.295359 280.420089 417.279229 6.795000e+02
2025-03-23 76.366452 102.812398 141.427377 205.299047 316.126510 519.406933 9.823239e+02
2025-03-30 67.142846 92.628131 131.244985 198.245913 322.300129 571.270358 1.223452e+03
2025-04-06 61.653104 87.085156 127.043188 199.770289 343.777439 662.353175 1.644824e+03
2025-04-13 56.757561 81.749190 122.222249 198.962071 360.171919 750.280793 2.166159e+03
2025-04-20 54.333429 79.986326 122.978890 208.447211 401.128820 922.879132 3.292534e+03
2025-04-27 53.215804 80.174157 127.044063 225.190838 464.974148 1208.713157 5.805254e+03
2025-05-04 49.738892 75.957025 122.539618 223.191405 481.710066 1358.373374 8.181130e+03
2025-05-11 47.232537 73.160426 120.295209 225.626339 511.481792 1585.797506 1.289097e+04
2025-05-18 44.324289 69.374387 115.690956 221.838281 522.343045 1748.762468 1.878421e+04
2025-05-25 41.978734 66.635696 113.289268 224.005483 556.788225 2092.184269 3.704422e+04
2025-06-01 39.874489 64.179508 111.231696 226.896512 596.875904 2551.693686 9.380507e+04
2025-06-08 37.288542 60.571588 106.338776 221.559241 606.388534 2852.434304 2.193164e+05
2025-06-15 36.280628 59.856570 107.418999 232.197143 682.239271 3857.181717 4.415756e+06
2025-06-22 33.923168 56.321088 101.989040 223.861268 678.032867 4170.310020 4.566967e+08
2025-06-29 32.521969 54.548845 100.242784 225.661332 719.451250 5144.758374 NaN
2025-07-06 31.058657 52.533323 97.722113 224.706839 748.784038 6155.332159 NaN
2025-07-13 30.479400 52.245882 99.107157 235.923706 846.934490 9011.342034 NaN
2025-07-20 30.384475 52.935302 102.866123 255.802803 1013.144871 16017.555951 NaN
2025-07-27 29.088134 51.007426 100.092298 253.423786 1046.798798 20085.126674 NaN
2025-08-03 28.153362 49.777767 98.906846 256.321165 1119.501736 28579.486790 NaN